Description: Investment Fallacies: Future Equity Returns

Description: In this video Eric Milner, ASA MAAA explores financial risk management and hedging strategies, catering to both seasoned professionals and newcomers. It covers essential topics such as hedging techniques to stabilize portfolios, determining optimal hedging rations, and assuring risks using metrics like Value at Risk (VaR). Additionally, it delves into various risk management categories including credit, interest rate, foreign exchange, equity, volatility, and liquidity, emphasizing the importance of understanding these strategies for maintaining financial stability in dynamic markets. Contributors: Eric Milner, ASA, MAAA ; Fiona Fan FSA, MAAA; Emelia Bruera, FSA; Jon Forster ASA, MAAA

Description: This session will serve as a guide on how to implement a factor-based optimization in the Strategic Asset Allocation process. The session will review a factor-based investing approach and cover the top-down macroeconomic drivers of risk and return for various asset classes. We will then illustrate implementation of this investing approach and determination of an optimal Strategic Asset Allocation through a pension fund case study. There will be an interactive element to the session as the factor sensitivities of various portfolios can be examined in real-time.

Description: Investment Fallacies: Simulation of Long-Term Stock Returns: Fat-Tails and Mean Reversion

Description: Summary of Investment Council sponsored meetings as 2015 annual meeting

Description: A discussion on how, as some have worried, we are entering uncharted territory for countries such as the United States and the Eurozone, as large amounts of money are being expended to stave off major global financial crises.

Description: In this comprehensive exploration led by Eric Milner, viewers are immersed in the intricate realm of actuarial science and quantitative finance. The video navigates through interest rate modeling, yield curves, and financial derivatives, shedding light on their practical significance in global financial operations. Key concepts such as Cox-Ingrersoll-Ross and Hull-White models are elucidated, alongside standard yield curve models and advanced quantitative tools like the Black-Scholes model and Monte Carlo Simulations. Actuaries gain indispensable insights into managing complex financial risks, fostering stability, and resilience against market fluctuations, crucial for strategic decision-making and investment planning and risk management across various sectors. Contributors: Eric Milner, ASA, MAAA; Richard Vaccaro, FSA, MAAA ; Diyi Zhao ASA, MAAA; Jon Forster ASA, MAAA

Description: Insurance companies utilize derivatives in a variety of ways to manage and mitigate risks that are inherent in their investment or liability portfolios. They can be characterized by three main features: medium long-term duration; large volumes; and significant market risk exposure. Given the persistent low interest rate environment across the curve since the 2008 financial crisis, large companies need to hedge their liabilities, as illustrated by the significant recent increase from $786 billion as of fiscal year 2010 to $1,885 billion as of FY 2014 by insurance companies.As the Variable Annuities (VA) guarantees embedded within those liabilities hold a strong convex risk profile with respect to the underlying stock, VA carriers need to buy some convex hedge assets such as options to match the liability risk profile to improve hedge effectiveness, implying the growing cost of hedging. Such market impact of the quantity on the cost of hedging is further magnified in the recent period with the short-lived, but sharp transitions from low volatility to high volatility, when market volatility suddenly increases, even when there were no well-known fundamental catalysts. This partially stems from the growing managed volatility funds embedded within VA ($bn 400).VA carriers willing to trade a large quantity of options will see such market impact as an important dilemma, as the cost of placing one large order to close position will be far greater than the sum of infinitely small orders differed in time. In that context, managing market impact requires introducing an explicit market impact function, the influence of which the agent will try to minimize. The effect on hedge asset prices significantly depends on whether there is or not significant delta hedging activity. In case of no significant delta hedging activity, the risk appetite has a significant influence on the optimal execution strategy. If there is significant delta hedging activity, the optimal trading involve

Description: Investment Fallacies: Bitcoin Fallacies

Description: The article provides a summary of the Drake Risk & Opportunity Forum held on October 21, 2022. The forum was a hybrid conference that attracted more than 200 attendees from 17 states, two countries, 48 employers, and five universities. Following an introduction by the Zimpleman College of Business Dean, the forum held six sessions. First was an insurance company CRO panel followed by a panel of non-insurance company CROs. Gary Zhu shared his outlook for interest rates and capital markets. The fourth panel discussed insurance capital models. The fifth panel discussed environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria when building insurance company investment portfolios. The final session of the day was a discussion about the NAIC, how they operate, and their priorities for the coming year.